Championship
Match Analysis
Birmingham
Bristol City
Birmingham
D
W
W
W
L
D
Bristol City
L
D
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | Bristol City | 2 - 1 | April 25, 2026 |
| Bristol City | Birmingham | 1 - 0 | October 25, 2025 |
| Birmingham | Bristol City | 0 - 0 | December 29, 2023 |
| Bristol City | Birmingham | 0 - 2 | August 19, 2023 |
| Bristol City | Birmingham | 4 - 2 | January 14, 2023 |
| Birmingham | Bristol City | 3 - 0 | October 8, 2022 |
Birmingham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Barcelona | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Crewe | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Burton Albion | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Solihull Moors | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Huddersfield | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Portsmouth | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Bristol City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | Walsall | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Exeter City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Plymouth | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Forest Green | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Newcastle | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Swindon Town | 1 - 3 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Bristol City | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Birmingham | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Birmingham to win
This prediction indicates that Birmingham has a 53.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.81 %Most Likely Scorelines
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