Championship
Match Analysis
Birmingham
Southampton
Birmingham
D
W
D
W
W
W
Southampton
L
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Birmingham | Southampton | 1 - 1 | December 29, 2025 |
| Southampton | Birmingham | 3 - 1 | December 6, 2025 |
| Birmingham | Southampton | 3 - 4 | March 2, 2024 |
| Southampton | Birmingham | 3 - 1 | October 28, 2023 |
| Birmingham | Southampton | 0 - 0 | February 4, 2012 |
| Southampton | Birmingham | 4 - 1 | September 18, 2011 |
Birmingham Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sheffield Utd | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Swansea | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Barcelona | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Crewe | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Burton Albion | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | Solihull Moors | 0 - 3 | Win |
Southampton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Watford | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Colchester | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Preußen Münster | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Eintracht Braunschweig | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Eastleigh | 1 - 3 | Win |
| May 12, 26 | Home | Middlesbrough | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Birmingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Southampton | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Birmingham to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Birmingham has a 36.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.35 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments