Championship
Match Analysis
Blackburn
Cardiff
Blackburn
D
W
L
L
D
L
Cardiff
W
L
D
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Cardiff with a 40% probability. Cardiff has a modest quality edge and has created significantly more shooting chances recently, supporting the prediction. However, both teams are showing poor recent form, and Blackburn has dominated recent meetings, which adds some uncertainty. The model's confidence in an away win is somewhat lower than what the market odds imply, as the odds slightly favor Blackburn.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | Cardiff | 1 - 2 | March 15, 2025 |
| Cardiff | Blackburn | 1 - 3 | November 9, 2024 |
| Cardiff | Blackburn | 0 - 0 | February 20, 2024 |
| Blackburn | Cardiff | 1 - 0 | October 21, 2023 |
| Blackburn | Cardiff | 5 - 2 | September 27, 2023 |
| Blackburn | Cardiff | 1 - 0 | January 1, 2023 |
Blackburn Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Away | Portsmouth | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Millwall | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Sheffield Utd | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Preston | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 1, 26 | Away | Lincoln | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | QPR | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Cardiff Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Charlton | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Bolton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Stoke City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Portsmouth | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | QPR | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Sheffield Utd | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 9 |
| 21 | Cardiff | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.56% likelihood that both Blackburn and Cardiff will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Blackburn or Cardiff to win
This prediction indicates that Cardiff has a 40.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.61 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Top Picks
Subscribe to unlock top picks
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments