Boavista SC vs Nova Iguaçu Sunday 27th September 2026 01:00 AM football predictions.

Copa Rio

Sept. 27, 2026 3 days, 12 hours from now VS

Boavista SC Nova Iguaçu

Boavista SC D D W W L W

Nova Iguaçu D L W D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Nova Iguaçu	Boavista SC	1 - 1	September 19, 2026
Boavista SC	Nova Iguaçu	1 - 1	June 28, 2025
Nova Iguaçu	Boavista SC	2 - 1	May 17, 2025
Nova Iguaçu	Boavista SC	0 - 0	January 27, 2025
Nova Iguaçu	Boavista SC	1 - 1	February 15, 2024
Boavista SC	Nova Iguaçu	1 - 0	March 4, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Away	Nova Iguaçu	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 2, 26	Away	Madureira	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 26, 26	Home	Madureira	2 - 0	Win
Aug 12, 26	Home	CFRJ / Maricá	3 - 0	Win
Aug 5, 26	Away	CFRJ / Maricá	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 22, 26	Home	CEAC / Araruama	4 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Boavista SC	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 2, 26	Away	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 26, 26	Home	Sampaio Corrêa RJ	2 - 0	Win
Aug 12, 26	Home	Olaria	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 5, 26	Away	Olaria	0 - 1	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	América RJ	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Boavista SC	6	4	1	1	10	1	+9	13
4	Nova Iguaçu	6	3	2	1	6	3	+3	11

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.85% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Boavista SC has a 40.08% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.98 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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