Bogense vs Esbjerg Tuesday 04th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Bogense Esbjerg

Esbjerg L L W D W W

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	FC Fredericia	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Mafra	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Aarhus Fremad	2 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Vejle	3 - 3	Draw
May 31, 26	Home	Lyngby	2 - 1	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Hvidovre	1 - 4	Win

This prediction indicates that Esbjerg has a 50.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.46 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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