Premijer Liga
Match Analysis
Borac Banja Luka
Čelik
Borac Banja Luka
W
L
W
W
D
W
Čelik
L
L
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Borac Banja Luka with a 66% probability. The model sees Borac Banja Luka as clearly stronger due to a significant quality gap in their favor, strong recent form, and a history of dominating recent meetings against Čelik. Despite Čelik having a rest advantage and showing strong attacking form recently, the model's confidence in Borac Banja Luka's edge is notably higher than what the market odds imply, which suggest a much more likely home win. The model also leans towards an over 1.5 and over 2.5 goals outcome, indicating an expectation of a game with several goals scored.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Čelik | Borac Banja Luka | 1 - 2 | December 1, 2019 |
| Borac Banja Luka | Čelik | 3 - 1 | September 1, 2019 |
| Čelik | Borac Banja Luka | 1 - 1 | April 21, 2018 |
| Borac Banja Luka | Čelik | 0 - 0 | March 11, 2018 |
| Čelik | Borac Banja Luka | 1 - 0 | October 21, 2017 |
| Borac Banja Luka | Čelik | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2017 |
Borac Banja Luka Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Away | Vikingur Reykjavik | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | ML Vitebsk | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Velež | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 6, 26 | Home | ML Vitebsk | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | Petrocub | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Petrocub | 3 - 0 | Win |
Čelik Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Siroki Brijeg | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Zrinjski | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Zvijezda 09 | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Zvijezda Gradačac | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | GOŠK Gabela | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Igman Konjic | 4 - 0 | Win |
Premijer Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Borac Banja Luka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Čelik | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Borac Banja Luka to win
This prediction indicates that Borac Banja Luka has a 66.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.79 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Odds Comparison
Subscribe to compare bookmaker odds
View plans
Comments