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Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura

July 12, 2026 1 week from now VS

Match Analysis

Boston River Central Espanol
Boston River D L L L W W
Central Espanol D W L W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Boston River Central Espanol 2 - 1 May 3, 2026
Boston River Central Espanol 1 - 0 April 2, 2016
Central Espanol Boston River 0 - 2 May 2, 2015
Boston River Central Espanol 1 - 2 December 2, 2014
Boston River Central Espanol 4 - 0 April 22, 2014
Central Espanol Boston River 3 - 1 November 19, 2013

Boston River Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away Defensor Sporting 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 1, 26 Home Liverpool Montevideo 0 - 1 Loss
May 26, 26 Away Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Cerro Largo 3 - 0 Loss
May 20, 26 Home O'Higgins 3 - 2 Win
May 16, 26 Home Cerro 4 - 1 Win

Central Espanol Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Racing Montevideo 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 1, 26 Away Penarol 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Cerro 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Defensor Sporting 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Racing Montevideo 2 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Boston River 2 - 1 Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Central Espanol 19 9 4 6 27 25 +2 31
12 Boston River 19 6 3 10 19 26 -7 21

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.73% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Central Espanol to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Central Espanol has a 37.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 36.67 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.77% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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