Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Boston River
Cerro
Boston River
D
W
L
L
D
D
Cerro
W
W
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston River | Cerro | 4 - 1 | May 16, 2026 |
| Cerro | Boston River | 1 - 1 | February 27, 2026 |
| Cerro | Boston River | 0 - 0 | November 9, 2025 |
| Boston River | Cerro | 0 - 0 | May 19, 2025 |
| Cerro | Boston River | 0 - 0 | November 18, 2024 |
| Boston River | Cerro | 2 - 0 | July 6, 2024 |
Boston River Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Danubio | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Club Nacional | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Penarol | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Central Espanol | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Defensor Sporting | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Cerro Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Albion FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Danubio | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Defensor Sporting | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Liverpool Montevideo | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 7, 26 | Home | Penarol | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Boston River | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 26 |
| 13 | Cerro | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 35 | -18 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Boston River to win
This prediction indicates that Boston River has a 44.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.17 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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