First League
Match Analysis
Botev Vratsa
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Vratsa
L
L
L
L
D
W
Botev Plovdiv
L
W
W
L
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Botev Vratsa have been struggling in their recent games, while Botev Plovdiv have been performing reasonably well. Additionally, Botev Plovdiv has a slight edge in team quality and has historically dominated Botev Vratsa, often with high-scoring encounters. The model predicts a 47% chance of an away win, showing more confidence in Botev Plovdiv than the market odds suggest. The model also sees a lower likelihood of goals overall, with an under prediction for both 1.5 and 2.5 goals lines.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | Botev Vratsa | 1 - 3 | March 14, 2026 |
| Botev Vratsa | Botev Plovdiv | 1 - 2 | October 5, 2025 |
| Botev Plovdiv | Botev Vratsa | 3 - 1 | November 23, 2024 |
| Botev Vratsa | Botev Plovdiv | 1 - 3 | July 21, 2024 |
| Botev Plovdiv | Botev Vratsa | 2 - 0 | April 12, 2024 |
| Botev Vratsa | Botev Plovdiv | 3 - 5 | October 21, 2023 |
Botev Vratsa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | CSKA Sofia | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Slavia Sofia | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Ludogorets | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | CSKA 1948 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | Cherno More Varna | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Arda Kardzhali | 1 - 0 | Win |
Botev Plovdiv Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Ludogorets | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Home | Spartak Varna | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Cherno More Varna | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | CSKA Sofia | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Lokomotiv Sofia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 12, 26 | Home | Beroe | 4 - 0 | Win |
First League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Botev Vratsa | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 1 |
Predictions
Botev Plovdiv to win
This prediction indicates that Botev Plovdiv has a 47.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.17 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.57% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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