Botswana vs Tunisia Monday 28th September 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 28, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Botswana Tunisia

Botswana W L L L L D

Tunisia L L L L L D

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Tunisia	Botswana	3 - 0	September 7, 2023
Botswana	Tunisia	0 - 0	June 5, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Mar 31, 26	Home	Malawi	1 - 0	Win
Mar 28, 26	Home	Zimbabwe	0 - 3	Loss
Dec 30, 25	Home	Congo DR	0 - 3	Loss
Dec 27, 25	Away	Benin	1 - 0	Loss
Dec 23, 25	Away	Senegal	3 - 0	Loss
Oct 14, 25	Away	Guinea	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Home	Netherlands	1 - 3	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Japan	0 - 4	Loss
Jun 15, 26	Away	Sweden	5 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Belgium	5 - 0	Loss
Jun 1, 26	Away	Austria	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Away	Canada	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Tunisia has a 42.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.58 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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