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National 1

Aug. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Bourg-en-bresse 01 Thionville Lusitanos
Bourg-en-bresse 01 L D W W L L
Thionville Lusitanos D W W L D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Bourg-en-bresse 01 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 22, 26 Home Dijon 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Grenoble 0 - 0 Draw
May 9, 26 Home Valenciennes 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Home Villefranche 1 - 0 Win
Apr 24, 26 Away Sochaux 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 17, 26 Home Caen 0 - 2 Loss

Thionville Lusitanos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 18, 26 Home Nancy 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 11, 26 Away Progres Niederkorn 0 - 5 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away RM Hamm Benfica 0 - 4 Win
Nov 15, 25 Away Racing Besançon 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 19, 25 Home Progres Niederkorn 1 - 1 Draw
Dec 22, 24 Home Valenciennes 2 - 2 Draw

National 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Thionville Lusitanos None None None None None None None None
None Bourg-en-bresse 01 None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Bourg-en-bresse 01 to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Bourg-en-bresse 01 has a 35.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.78 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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