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First Division

July 31, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Bray Wanderers Kerry
Bray Wanderers W W L W D W
Kerry D L W W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Kerry Bray Wanderers 2 - 2 May 22, 2026
Bray Wanderers Kerry 2 - 1 March 27, 2026
Bray Wanderers Kerry 5 - 1 October 17, 2025
Kerry Bray Wanderers 2 - 1 June 20, 2025
Bray Wanderers Kerry 4 - 2 April 25, 2025
Kerry Bray Wanderers 0 - 1 March 7, 2025

Bray Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Home UCD 6 - 0 Win
Jul 3, 26 Home Athlone Town 1 - 0 Win
Jun 26, 26 Away Cork City 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 19, 26 Home Longford Town 5 - 2 Win
Jun 12, 26 Away Treaty United 2 - 2 Draw
May 29, 26 Home Wexford 4 - 0 Win

Kerry Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Wexford 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 3, 26 Away Treaty United 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 26, 26 Home Longford Town 2 - 1 Win
Jun 19, 26 Away UCD 0 - 1 Win
Jun 12, 26 Home Athlone Town 1 - 0 Win
May 29, 26 Away Cobh Ramblers 2 - 0 Loss

First Division Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Bray Wanderers 22 9 7 6 40 30 +10 34
7 Kerry 22 6 7 9 22 27 -5 25

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.14% likelihood that both Bray Wanderers and Kerry will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Bray Wanderers to win
This prediction indicates that Bray Wanderers has a 62.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.05 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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