Premier League
Match Analysis
Brighton
Aston Villa
Brighton
W
W
L
L
W
L
Aston Villa
L
W
L
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | Brighton | 1 - 0 | February 11, 2026 |
| Brighton | Aston Villa | 3 - 4 | December 3, 2025 |
| Brighton | Aston Villa | 0 - 3 | April 2, 2025 |
| Aston Villa | Brighton | 2 - 2 | December 30, 2024 |
| Brighton | Aston Villa | 1 - 0 | May 5, 2024 |
| Aston Villa | Brighton | 6 - 1 | September 30, 2023 |
Brighton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | AS Roma | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Strasbourg | 4 - 3 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Manchester United | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Leeds | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Wolves | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Newcastle | 3 - 1 | Loss |
Aston Villa Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Bayern München | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Bangkok Glass | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Real Sociedad | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | FC Porto | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Walsall | 0 - 5 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Manchester City | 1 - 2 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Aston Villa | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Brighton | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.69% likelihood that both Brighton and Aston Villa will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Brighton to win
This prediction indicates that Brighton has a 45.89% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.27 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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