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USL Championship

June 21, 2026 1 week, 2 days ago
0 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Brooklyn Tampa Bay Rowdies
Brooklyn D D L L L D
Tampa Bay Rowdies L D W W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Brooklyn Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 14, 26 Away Louisville City 2 - 2 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Sporting JAX 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Rhode Island 4 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Loudoun United 0 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Miami FC 3 - 2 Loss
Apr 21, 26 Home Sacramento Republic 1 - 1 Draw

Tampa Bay Rowdies Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home Hartford Athletic 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 10, 26 Home Charleston Battery 2 - 2 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Louisville City 0 - 2 Win
May 23, 26 Home Phoenix Rising 3 - 0 Win
May 21, 26 Away New Mexico United 0 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Rhode Island 1 - 1 Draw

USL Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay Rowdies 13 8 4 1 21 8 +13 28
24 Brooklyn 12 2 3 7 13 22 -9 9

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Tampa Bay Rowdies to win
This prediction indicates that Tampa Bay Rowdies has a 52.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.94 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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