Buca FK vs Gaziemirspor Wednesday 16th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Cup

Sept. 16, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Buca FK Gaziemirspor

Buca FK W D L D L L

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Apr 24, 26	Away	Karacabey Belediyespor	0 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Batman Petrolspor	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Away	Altınordu	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 8, 26	Home	Halide Edip Adıvar	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 3, 26	Away	Ankaragucu	1 - 0	Loss
Mar 28, 26	Home	Elazığspor	1 - 5	Loss

This prediction indicates that Buca FK has a 38.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.84 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.55% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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