Primera A
Match Analysis
Bucaramanga
Independiente Medellin
Bucaramanga
W
D
D
W
D
D
Independiente Medellin
L
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Medellin | Bucaramanga | 1 - 2 | March 1, 2026 |
| Independiente Medellin | Bucaramanga | 3 - 1 | January 13, 2026 |
| Independiente Medellin | Bucaramanga | 3 - 0 | October 29, 2025 |
| Bucaramanga | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 0 | May 10, 2025 |
| Bucaramanga | Independiente Medellin | 2 - 3 | November 4, 2024 |
| Independiente Medellin | Bucaramanga | 1 - 0 | April 14, 2024 |
Bucaramanga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Independiente Medellin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Chico | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 10, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 4 | Win |
| Sep 4, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pereira | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 2 - 3 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Independiente Medellin | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 39 | 32 | +7 | 41 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36 | 26 | +10 | 36 |
Predictions
Bucaramanga to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Bucaramanga has a 38.14% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.27 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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