UEFA Nations League
Match Analysis
Bulgaria
Estonia
Bulgaria
D
L
W
L
L
L
Estonia
W
L
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Bulgaria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 26 | Away | Moldova | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | Montenegro | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Nov 18, 25 | Home | Georgia | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Nov 15, 25 | Away | Türkiye | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 14, 25 | Away | Spain | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 11, 25 | Home | Türkiye | 1 - 6 | Loss |
Estonia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 25 | Away | Cyprus | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Nov 13, 25 | Away | Norway | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 14, 25 | Home | Moldova | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Oct 11, 25 | Home | Italy | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 9, 25 | Home | Andorra | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 25 | Away | Italy | 5 - 0 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.2% likelihood that both Bulgaria and Estonia will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Bulgaria to win
This prediction indicates that Bulgaria has a 44.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.37 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.99% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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