UEFA Nations League
Match Analysis
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
Bulgaria
D
L
W
L
L
L
Luxembourg
W
L
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | 0 - 1 | November 15, 2024 |
| Bulgaria | Luxembourg | 0 - 0 | October 12, 2024 |
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | 0 - 0 | November 20, 2022 |
| Luxembourg | Bulgaria | 1 - 1 | October 10, 2017 |
| Bulgaria | Luxembourg | 4 - 3 | September 6, 2016 |
Bulgaria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 26 | Away | Moldova | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | Montenegro | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Nov 18, 25 | Home | Georgia | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Nov 15, 25 | Away | Türkiye | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 14, 25 | Away | Spain | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Oct 11, 25 | Home | Türkiye | 1 - 6 | Loss |
Luxembourg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Albania | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Home | Italy | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Mar 31, 26 | Home | Malta | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Mar 26, 26 | Away | Malta | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Nov 17, 25 | Away | Northern Ireland | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Nov 14, 25 | Home | Germany | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Bulgaria or Luxembourg to win
This prediction indicates that Bulgaria has a 39.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.80 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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