Championship
Match Analysis
Burnley
Middlesbrough
Burnley
D
D
L
D
L
L
Middlesbrough
W
W
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | Burnley | 0 - 0 | December 29, 2024 |
| Burnley | Middlesbrough | 1 - 1 | December 6, 2024 |
| Middlesbrough | Burnley | 1 - 2 | April 7, 2023 |
| Burnley | Middlesbrough | 3 - 1 | December 17, 2022 |
| Middlesbrough | Burnley | 0 - 0 | April 8, 2017 |
| Burnley | Middlesbrough | 1 - 0 | December 26, 2016 |
Burnley Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | West Ham | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Notts County | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Torino | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Espanyol | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Ajax | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | Real Salt Lake | 4 - 1 | Loss |
Middlesbrough Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Lincoln | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Espanyol | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Huddersfield | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Celtic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Hull City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 9 | Burnley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.62% likelihood that both Burnley and Middlesbrough will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Middlesbrough to win
This prediction indicates that Middlesbrough has a 41.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.22 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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