Burnley vs Notts County Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Burnley Notts County

Burnley L D L D L D

Notts County L L L W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	Real Salt Lake	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Columbus Crew	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Away	FC Cincinnati	3 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Wolves	1 - 1	Draw
May 18, 26	Away	Arsenal	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Aston Villa	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Nottingham Forest	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Randers FC	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Viborg	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Alfreton Town	0 - 5	Win
May 25, 26	Home	Salford City	3 - 0	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Chesterfield	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction indicates that Burnley has a 46.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.26 %

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