Burnley vs West Ham Sunday 16th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Burnley West Ham

Burnley D L L D L D

West Ham D D W D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Burnley	West Ham	0 - 2	February 7, 2026
West Ham	Burnley	3 - 2	November 8, 2025
West Ham	Burnley	2 - 2	March 10, 2024
Burnley	West Ham	1 - 2	November 25, 2023
West Ham	Burnley	1 - 1	April 17, 2022
Burnley	West Ham	0 - 0	December 12, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Espanyol	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Ajax	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 16, 26	Away	Real Salt Lake	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Columbus Crew	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Away	FC Cincinnati	3 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Wolves	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	1. FC Magdeburg	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	Rangers	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Stevenage	0 - 5	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Southend	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Leeds	3 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Newcastle	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	West Ham	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Burnley	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that West Ham has a 44.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.28 %

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