Burton Albion vs Stevenage Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Burton Albion Stevenage

Burton Albion D L L D D D

Stevenage W L D L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Burton Albion	Stevenage	0 - 1	March 7, 2026
Stevenage	Burton Albion	2 - 2	December 20, 2025
Stevenage	Burton Albion	0 - 1	February 18, 2025
Burton Albion	Stevenage	0 - 4	December 10, 2024
Burton Albion	Stevenage	0 - 0	August 24, 2024
Stevenage	Burton Albion	1 - 2	April 13, 2024

Burton Albion Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Solihull Moors	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Home	Birmingham	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Leicester	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Alfreton Town	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Leyton Orient	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Exeter City	1 - 1	Draw

Stevenage Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Millwall	1 - 0	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	West Ham	0 - 5	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	FC Andorra	0 - 0	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	Stockport County	2 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Stockport County	0 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Wigan	1 - 0	Win

League One Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Stevenage	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Burton Albion	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Burton Albion to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Burton Albion has a 39.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.26 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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