Burundi vs Algeria Tuesday 29th September 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Sept. 29, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Burundi Algeria

Burundi L W W L L L

Algeria L D W L W W

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Burundi	Algeria	0 - 4	January 9, 2024
Algeria	Burundi	1 - 0	June 11, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 26, 26	Away	Morocco	5 - 0	Loss
Mar 31, 26	Home	Chad	4 - 0	Win
Mar 27, 26	Away	Chad	0 - 4	Win
Oct 14, 25	Away	Gabon	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 9, 25	Home	Kenya	0 - 1	Loss
Sep 9, 25	Away	Gambia	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Switzerland	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Home	Austria	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 23, 26	Away	Jordan	1 - 2	Win
Jun 17, 26	Away	Argentina	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 11, 26	Away	Bolivia	0 - 4	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Netherlands	0 - 1	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Algeria has a 54.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.12 %

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