Bury vs Bromsgrove Sporting Saturday 03rd October 2026 05:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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FA Cup

Oct. 3, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Bury Bromsgrove Sporting
Bury W W W L W W
Bromsgrove Sporting W W L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Bury Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Home Workington 5 - 1 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home Wythenshawe Amateurs 8 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Radcliffe 3 - 1 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Accrington ST 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 21, 26 Home Wigan Athletic U21 4 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Chorley 1 - 2 Win

Bromsgrove Sporting Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Home Leek Town 2 - 1 Win
Sep 5, 26 Home Nuneaton Town 2 - 0 Win
Aug 1, 26 Home Hereford 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 28, 26 Home Malvern Town 3 - 0 Win
Jul 25, 26 Home Trefelin 8 - 0 Win
Jul 21, 26 Away Bedworth United 0 - 2 Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.12% likelihood that both Bury and Bromsgrove Sporting will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Bury to win
This prediction indicates that Bury has a 50.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.97 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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