Busan I Park vs Gimpo Citizen Sunday 12th July 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Busan I Park Gimpo Citizen

Busan I Park D W L W W L

Gimpo Citizen D W W W D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Busan I Park	Gimpo Citizen	4 - 1	October 25, 2025
Gimpo Citizen	Busan I Park	3 - 0	July 6, 2025
Busan I Park	Gimpo Citizen	0 - 0	February 22, 2025
Busan I Park	Gimpo Citizen	0 - 0	August 24, 2024
Gimpo Citizen	Busan I Park	1 - 0	June 23, 2024
Busan I Park	Gimpo Citizen	0 - 1	March 17, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Home	Asan Mugunghwa	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Paju Citizen	4 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Hwaseong	3 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Cheonan City	1 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Gimhae City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Suwon Bluewings	3 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Jeonnam Dragons	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Gimhae City	1 - 2	Win
May 25, 26	Away	Paju Citizen	0 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Ansan Greeners	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Cheongju	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Seoul E-Land FC	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Busan I Park	14	10	2	2	30	17	+13	32
7	Gimpo Citizen	13	6	5	2	17	12	+5	23

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Busan I Park will score 0 goals, and Gimpo Citizen will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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