Busan I Park vs Hwaseong Saturday 15th August 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Busan I Park Hwaseong

Busan I Park L L W D D W

Hwaseong W W L L W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hwaseong	Busan I Park	3 - 2	May 17, 2026
Hwaseong	Busan I Park	1 - 1	September 28, 2025
Hwaseong	Busan I Park	1 - 0	July 19, 2025
Busan I Park	Hwaseong	3 - 2	April 27, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Suwon Bluewings	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Seongnam FC	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Gimpo Citizen	2 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Jeonnam Dragons	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 5, 26	Home	Asan Mugunghwa	2 - 2	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Paju Citizen	4 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Asan Mugunghwa	3 - 2	Win
Jul 19, 26	Away	Yongin City	0 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Paju Citizen	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Suwon Bluewings	1 - 2	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Gyeongnam FC	2 - 0	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Cheongju	2 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Busan I Park	18	11	3	4	36	25	+11	36
5	Hwaseong	18	9	4	5	29	21	+8	31

This prediction indicates that Busan I Park has a 48.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.99 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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