Busan I Park vs Paju Citizen Saturday 30th May 2026 10:30 AM football predictions.

Busan I Park Paju Citizen

Busan I Park L W W L W W

Paju Citizen L D D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	Hwaseong	3 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Cheonan City	1 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Gimhae City	0 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Suwon Bluewings	3 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Suwon City FC	2 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Yongin City	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 25, 26	Home	Gimpo Citizen	0 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Cheonan City	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Cheongju	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Gyeongnam FC	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 19, 26	Away	Seongnam FC	0 - 1	Win
Apr 11, 26	Home	Seoul E-Land FC	1 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Busan I Park	12	9	1	2	24	14	+10	28
12	Paju Citizen	12	4	2	6	14	15	-1	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Busan I Park has a 50.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.54 %

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