FA Cup
Match Analysis
Buxton
Ashton United
Buxton
W
L
W
W
L
L
Ashton United
W
L
W
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buxton | Ashton United | 1 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| Buxton | Ashton United | 4 - 1 | July 6, 2024 |
Buxton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Brackley Town | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Morecambe | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 31, 26 | Home | Merthyr Town | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Oxford City | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Hebburn Town | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Bedford Town | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Ashton United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Whitby Town | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Stalybridge Celtic | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Runcorn Linnets | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Buxton | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 30, 25 | Home | Runcorn Linnets | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Sep 27, 25 | Away | Runcorn Linnets | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.37% likelihood that both Buxton and Ashton United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Buxton to win
This prediction indicates that Buxton has a 55.15% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.70 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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