National League - North
Match Analysis
Buxton
Brackley Town
Buxton
L
L
D
W
W
W
Brackley Town
L
L
D
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town | Buxton | 0 - 1 | March 15, 2025 |
| Buxton | Brackley Town | 0 - 2 | November 12, 2024 |
| Buxton | Brackley Town | 0 - 0 | January 27, 2024 |
| Brackley Town | Buxton | 2 - 1 | August 12, 2023 |
| Buxton | Brackley Town | 3 - 1 | April 22, 2023 |
| Brackley Town | Buxton | 2 - 0 | October 22, 2022 |
Buxton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Hebburn Town | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 18, 26 | Away | Bedford Town | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Southport | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Hereford | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Warrington Town | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Scunthorpe | 2 - 0 | Win |
Brackley Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Macclesfield | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 18, 26 | Home | King's Lynn Town | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Hebburn Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | AFC Telford United | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Maidenhead | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Stratford Town | 1 - 0 | Loss |
National League - North Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Buxton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Brackley Town | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.17% likelihood that both Buxton and Brackley Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Buxton to win
This prediction indicates that Buxton has a 54.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.45 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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