Buxton vs Hereford Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Buxton Hereford

Buxton W W L L W W

Hereford L D D W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Hereford	Buxton	0 - 2	March 28, 2026
Buxton	Hereford	1 - 2	August 19, 2025
Hereford	Buxton	2 - 1	February 25, 2025
Buxton	Hereford	1 - 2	October 12, 2024
Hereford	Buxton	2 - 2	April 1, 2024
Buxton	Hereford	2 - 1	November 21, 2023

Buxton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 21, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Ashton United	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	SC Braga	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	South Shields	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Home	Scarborough Athletic	4 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Leamington	4 - 1	Win

Hereford Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Away	Bishop's Cleeve	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Hereford Pegasus	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Peterborough Sports	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 21, 26	Home	Marine	2 - 1	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Radcliffe	3 - 1	Win
Apr 14, 26	Home	Oxford City	1 - 2	Loss

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Hereford	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Buxton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.73% likelihood that both Buxton and Hereford will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Buxton to win

This prediction indicates that Buxton has a 60.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.86 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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