National League - North
Match Analysis
Buxton
Merthyr Town
Buxton
D
W
W
W
W
L
Merthyr Town
L
W
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merthyr Town | Buxton | 1 - 3 | February 28, 2026 |
| Buxton | Merthyr Town | 1 - 2 | November 29, 2025 |
| Buxton | Merthyr Town | 2 - 0 | November 5, 2022 |
Buxton Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Southport | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Hereford | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Warrington Town | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Scunthorpe | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 10, 26 | Home | Ashton United | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | SC Braga | 1 - 3 | Loss |
Merthyr Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Spennymoor Town | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Hednesford Town | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Worcester City | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Swansea | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Briton Ferry | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Forest Green | 1 - 2 | Loss |
National League - North Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Merthyr Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 | Buxton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.17% likelihood that both Buxton and Merthyr Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Buxton to win
This prediction indicates that Buxton has a 57.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.38 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.28% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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