Primera Nacional
Match Analysis
CA Estudiantes
Chacarita Juniors
CA Estudiantes
L
D
L
D
W
D
Chacarita Juniors
L
W
L
D
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, matches between CA Estudiantes and Chacarita Juniors have often ended in draws, and goals have been scarce in these encounters. Despite CA Estudiantes having a modest quality edge, their poor recent form contrasts with Chacarita Juniors' moderate form. The model predicts a home win with a 42% probability, which is notably more confident than what the market odds suggest. The model also leans toward 'no' for both teams scoring and 'under' for over/under 2.5 goals, aligning with the general trend of tight, low-scoring games between these sides.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chacarita Juniors | CA Estudiantes | 0 - 3 | March 29, 2026 |
| Chacarita Juniors | CA Estudiantes | 0 - 3 | August 3, 2025 |
| CA Estudiantes | Chacarita Juniors | 0 - 2 | March 29, 2025 |
| Chacarita Juniors | CA Estudiantes | 1 - 1 | July 27, 2024 |
| CA Estudiantes | Chacarita Juniors | 0 - 0 | March 9, 2024 |
| Chacarita Juniors | CA Estudiantes | 1 - 1 | October 8, 2023 |
CA Estudiantes Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Deportivo Madryn | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Defensores De Belgrano | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Ciudad de Bolívar | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Almirante Brown | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Atletico Mitre | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 5, 26 | Home | Racing Cordoba | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Chacarita Juniors Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Atletico DE Rafaela | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Agropecuario | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Tristan Suarez | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | San Martin S.J. | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Tristan Suarez | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Primera Nacional Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | CA Estudiantes | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 32 |
| 27 | Chacarita Juniors | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 26 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.67% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Correct Prediction! ✅
CA Estudiantes to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that CA Estudiantes has a 41.84% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.72 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.2% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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