National 1
Match Analysis
Caen
Rouen
Caen
W
L
W
L
W
D
Rouen
D
W
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rouen | Caen | 1 - 1 | March 27, 2026 |
| Caen | Rouen | 1 - 1 | October 21, 2025 |
Caen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | SC Bastia | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Aubagne | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Thionville Lusitanos | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Valenciennes | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Dieppe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Rouen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 26 | Home | Valenciennes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Villefranche | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Quevilly | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Orleans | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Cannes | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Al Wakrah | 1 - 0 | Win |
National 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rouen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 5 | Caen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.08% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Caen to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Caen has a 34.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.38 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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