Caen vs SC Bastia Thursday 27th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

National 1

Aug. 27, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Caen SC Bastia

Caen W D W W L W

SC Bastia L D L L W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
SC Bastia	Caen	2 - 1	May 10, 2025
Caen	SC Bastia	2 - 0	November 2, 2024
SC Bastia	Caen	1 - 2	January 23, 2024
Caen	SC Bastia	1 - 0	December 2, 2023
Caen	SC Bastia	3 - 1	February 3, 2023
SC Bastia	Caen	1 - 0	December 26, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 7, 26	Home	Valenciennes	4 - 0	Win
Jul 31, 26	Home	Dieppe	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Al Wakrah	4 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Laval	4 - 2	Win
Jul 15, 26	Home	Gobelins	3 - 4	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Away	Rennes	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 7, 26	Home	Le Puy Foot	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Away	Aubagne	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 10, 26	Away	Rodez	5 - 3	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Le Mans	0 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Guingamp	0 - 1	Win
Apr 24, 26	Away	Clermont Foot	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	SC Bastia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Caen has a 34.39% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.39 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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