Caen vs Valenciennes Friday 07th August 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

Caen Valenciennes

Caen W L W L D W

Valenciennes W D W D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Valenciennes	Caen	2 - 1	February 28, 2026
Caen	Valenciennes	0 - 0	September 19, 2025
Caen	Valenciennes	3 - 0	May 17, 2024
Valenciennes	Caen	2 - 2	October 28, 2023
Caen	Valenciennes	2 - 1	March 18, 2023
Valenciennes	Caen	1 - 1	November 5, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Laval	4 - 2	Win
Jul 15, 26	Home	Gobelins	3 - 4	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Away	Rennes	1 - 2	Win
May 15, 26	Away	Aubagne	3 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Concarneau	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 24, 26	Home	Villefranche	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 22, 26	Away	Eastleigh	0 - 3	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Kortrijk	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Dunkerque	0 - 2	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Chateauroux	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Bourg-en-bresse 01	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Sochaux	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Valenciennes	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Caen	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Caen has a 44.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.75 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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