Caernarfon Town vs Penybont Friday 07th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Caernarfon Town Penybont

Caernarfon Town L L W W W L

Penybont L L W L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Caernarfon Town	Penybont	2 - 0	April 18, 2026
Penybont	Caernarfon Town	0 - 0	January 24, 2026
Penybont	Caernarfon Town	0 - 2	October 25, 2025
Caernarfon Town	Penybont	1 - 2	September 20, 2025
Penybont	Caernarfon Town	3 - 1	April 13, 2025
Caernarfon Town	Penybont	3 - 2	February 22, 2025

Caernarfon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	FC Levadia Tallinn	5 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Home	FC Levadia Tallinn	0 - 5	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Glentoran	1 - 2	Win
Apr 18, 26	Home	Penybont	2 - 0	Win
Apr 3, 26	Away	Colwyn Bay	0 - 2	Win
Mar 27, 26	Home	The New Saints	0 - 4	Loss

Penybont Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 16, 26	Away	FC Santa Coloma	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Home	FC Santa Coloma	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 23, 26	Away	Trethomas Bluebirds	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Haverfordwest County AFC	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Colwyn Bay	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	Caernarfon Town	2 - 0	Loss

Premier League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Penybont	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Caernarfon Town	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.52% likelihood that both Caernarfon Town and Penybont will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Caernarfon Town to win

This prediction indicates that Caernarfon Town has a 46.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.42 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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