Premier League
Match Analysis
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
Caernarfon Town
W
L
W
L
L
W
The New Saints
W
W
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caernarfon Town | The New Saints | 0 - 4 | March 27, 2026 |
| The New Saints | Caernarfon Town | 2 - 1 | February 20, 2026 |
| The New Saints | Caernarfon Town | 2 - 0 | November 28, 2025 |
| Caernarfon Town | The New Saints | 1 - 3 | October 7, 2025 |
| The New Saints | Caernarfon Town | 2 - 0 | March 11, 2025 |
| Caernarfon Town | The New Saints | 0 - 1 | February 11, 2025 |
Caernarfon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Colwyn Bay | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Penybont | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 16, 26 | Away | FC Levadia Tallinn | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | FC Levadia Tallinn | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Jun 20, 26 | Away | Glentoran | 1 - 2 | Win |
The New Saints Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Briton Ferry | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Haverfordwest County AFC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Penybont | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | Flora Tallinn | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Sabah FA | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | The New Saints | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 7 |
| 11 | Caernarfon Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.04% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.The New Saints to win
This prediction indicates that The New Saints has a 62.0% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.79 %Most Likely Scorelines
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