Cagliari vs Arezzo Friday 14th August 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Coppa Italia

Aug. 14, 2026 3 days, 13 hours from now VS

Cagliari Arezzo

Cagliari D D W D W W

Arezzo W D L L D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 8, 26	Home	Nice	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 2, 26	Away	Union Berlin	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 28, 26	Home	Modena	1 - 0	Win
Jul 23, 26	Home	Sampdoria	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	AC Milan	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Torino	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 9, 26	Home	Union Brescia	2 - 0	Win
Jul 30, 26	Away	Parma	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 29, 26	Home	Albinoleffe	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Atalanta	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Folgore Caratese	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Napoli	1 - 3	Win

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.07% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cagliari has a 49.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.67 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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