Serie A
Match Analysis
Cagliari
Lecce
Cagliari
W
W
D
D
W
D
Lecce
W
L
W
W
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cagliari | Lecce | 0 - 2 | February 16, 2026 |
| Lecce | Cagliari | 1 - 2 | September 19, 2025 |
| Cagliari | Lecce | 4 - 1 | January 19, 2025 |
| Lecce | Cagliari | 1 - 0 | August 31, 2024 |
| Cagliari | Lecce | 1 - 1 | May 5, 2024 |
| Lecce | Cagliari | 1 - 1 | January 6, 2024 |
Cagliari Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Parma | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Arezzo | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Nice | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Union Berlin | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Modena | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | Sampdoria | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Lecce Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Venezia | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Palermo | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | SS Monopoli | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Bistrica | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Istra 1961 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Serie A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cagliari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 6 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 58.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cagliari to win
This prediction indicates that Cagliari has a 44.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.10 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.46% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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