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Liga 3

Aug. 16, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Caldas Lusitano Évora 1911
Caldas D L D L W D
Lusitano Évora 1911 L D L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Caldas Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 1 March 22, 2026
Lusitano Évora 1911 Caldas 0 - 1 March 7, 2026
Lusitano Évora 1911 Caldas 1 - 0 January 17, 2026
Caldas Lusitano Évora 1911 2 - 1 October 26, 2025

Caldas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 1, 26 Home Academica 2 - 2 Draw
May 2, 26 Away 1º Dezembro 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home SC Covilha 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 18, 26 Away Atlético CP 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 12, 26 Away Amora 1 - 2 Win
Mar 22, 26 Home Lusitano Évora 1911 1 - 1 Draw

Lusitano Évora 1911 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Away Estrela 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 15, 26 Away Benfica B 1 - 1 Draw
May 2, 26 Home Atlético CP 0 - 1 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away Amora 1 - 2 Win
Apr 18, 26 Home SC Covilha 1 - 0 Win
Apr 11, 26 Home 1º Dezembro 2 - 1 Win

Liga 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Lusitano Évora 1911 None None None None None None None None
None Caldas None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Lusitano Évora 1911 to win
This prediction indicates that Lusitano Évora 1911 has a 43.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.77 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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