Canvey Island vs Chelmsford City Saturday 19th September 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

FA Cup

Sept. 19, 2026 1 week, 2 days from now VS

Canvey Island Chelmsford City

Canvey Island W D L L L D

Chelmsford City D D D W D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Canvey Island	Chelmsford City	0 - 1	July 14, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Newmarket	0 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Home	Newmarket	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 28, 26	Home	Aveley	1 - 4	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Brentwood Town	3 - 4	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Chelmsford City	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Ebbsfleet United	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Dorking Wanderers	3 - 3	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Salisbury	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 31, 26	Away	Weston-super-Mare	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Maidenhead	1 - 0	Win
Aug 22, 26	Away	Folkestone Invicta	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Home	Truro City	0 - 0	Draw

This prediction indicates that Chelmsford City has a 46.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.57 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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