Championship
Match Analysis
Cardiff
Stoke City
Cardiff
D
D
W
W
W
W
Stoke City
L
L
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff | Stoke City | 0 - 1 | April 12, 2025 |
| Stoke City | Cardiff | 3 - 3 | February 8, 2025 |
| Stoke City | Cardiff | 2 - 2 | December 14, 2024 |
| Cardiff | Stoke City | 2 - 1 | February 24, 2024 |
| Stoke City | Cardiff | 0 - 0 | November 4, 2023 |
| Cardiff | Stoke City | 1 - 1 | April 22, 2023 |
Cardiff Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Derby | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Wrexham | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Swindon Town | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | AS Roma | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Forest Green | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Cork City | 1 - 6 | Win |
Stoke City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Southampton | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Swansea | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Oldham | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Valencia | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Everton | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Chester | 0 - 1 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cardiff | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 21 | Stoke City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.05% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cardiff to win
This prediction indicates that Cardiff has a 64.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.12 %Most Likely Scorelines
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