Cardiff vs Swindon Town Saturday 08th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Cardiff Swindon Town

Cardiff W L L W W W

Swindon Town L L W L L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cardiff	Swindon Town	2 - 1	August 12, 2025
Swindon Town	Cardiff	2 - 4	July 23, 2022

Cardiff Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Away	Cork City	1 - 6	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	FC Midtjylland	0 - 6	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Mansfield Town	5 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Northampton	5 - 1	Win
Apr 22, 26	Home	Port Vale	1 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Reading	1 - 3	Win

Swindon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Crystal Palace	5 - 1	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Home	Chippenham Town	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Swindon Supermarine	4 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Chesterfield	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Grimsby	4 - 0	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	Accrington ST	2 - 2	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.24% likelihood that both Cardiff and Swindon Town will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Cardiff to win

This prediction indicates that Cardiff has a 65.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.57 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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