National League
Match Analysis
Carlisle
Southend
Carlisle
D
W
D
L
W
L
Southend
L
W
W
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle | Southend | 2 - 2 | March 7, 2026 |
| Southend | Carlisle | 1 - 2 | November 8, 2025 |
| Southend | Carlisle | 0 - 2 | April 3, 2021 |
| Carlisle | Southend | 2 - 0 | September 19, 2020 |
| Southend | Carlisle | 2 - 0 | February 28, 2015 |
| Carlisle | Southend | 1 - 1 | August 23, 2014 |
Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Away | Wealdstone | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | AFC Hornchurch | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Yeovil Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Worthing | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Derby County U21 | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Salford City | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Southend Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Kidderminster Harriers | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Solihull Moors | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Scunthorpe | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Altrincham | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Aveley | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Leyton Orient | 1 - 1 | Draw |
National League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Southend | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 12 | Carlisle | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.54% likelihood that both Carlisle and Southend will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Carlisle to win
This prediction indicates that Carlisle has a 41.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.78 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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