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Match Analysis

Carolina Core Chattanooga
Carolina Core D L W L D L
Chattanooga D D D W L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Chattanooga Carolina Core 1 - 0 May 24, 2026
Chattanooga Carolina Core 0 - 0 September 21, 2025
Carolina Core Chattanooga 0 - 1 August 16, 2025
Carolina Core Chattanooga 1 - 4 April 13, 2025
Carolina Core Chattanooga 2 - 1 July 17, 2024
Chattanooga Carolina Core 1 - 2 June 22, 2024

Carolina Core Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Away Fort Lauderdale CF 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 17, 26 Away New York City II 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 14, 26 Home Crown Legacy 2 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Orlando City II 3 - 2 Loss
May 30, 26 Home New York RB II 1 - 1 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Chattanooga 1 - 0 Loss

Chattanooga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 27, 26 Home Chicago Fire 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away New York City II 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Atlanta United II 4 - 4 Draw
Jun 6, 26 Home New York RB II 4 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Orlando City II 5 - 2 Loss
May 24, 26 Home Carolina Core 1 - 0 Win

MLS Next Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
10 Chattanooga 16 7 4 5 32 28 +4 25
26 Carolina Core 16 2 6 8 19 28 -9 12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.12% likelihood that both Carolina Core and Chattanooga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Chattanooga to win
This prediction indicates that Chattanooga has a 45.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.00 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.87% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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