Casa Pia vs Benfica Sunday 16th August 2026 10:30 PM football predictions.

Casa Pia Benfica

Casa Pia L L W W D D

Benfica W W L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Casa Pia	Benfica	1 - 1	April 6, 2026
Benfica	Casa Pia	2 - 2	November 9, 2025
Casa Pia	Benfica	3 - 1	January 25, 2025
Benfica	Casa Pia	3 - 0	August 17, 2024
Casa Pia	Benfica	0 - 1	March 17, 2024
Benfica	Casa Pia	1 - 1	October 28, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Leixoes	6 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Away	Benfica B	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Estrela	1 - 2	Win
May 28, 26	Home	Torreense	2 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Torreense	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Home	Rio Ave	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Home	FC ST. Gallen	5 - 0	Win
Jul 24, 26	Home	CF Os Belenenses	5 - 1	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	FC ST. Gallen	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Villarreal	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Flamengo	1 - 2	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Estoril	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Benfica	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Casa Pia	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.41% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Benfica has a 64.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.39 %

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