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Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Casarano Barletta
Casarano L D L W L W
Barletta D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Casarano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 21, 26 Away Potenza 4 - 1 Loss
May 20, 26 Away Union Brescia 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Union Brescia 0 - 3 Loss
May 13, 26 Away Renate 0 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Home Renate 0 - 2 Loss
May 6, 26 Away Nuova Cosenza 1 - 5 Win

Barletta Form (Last 1 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 22, 26 Away Casertana 3 - 3 Draw

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Barletta 1 0 1 0 3 3 0 1
19 Casarano 1 0 0 1 1 4 -3 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.99% likelihood that both Casarano and Barletta will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Casarano to win
This prediction indicates that Casarano has a 45.21% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.45 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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