Casarano vs SS Monopoli Sunday 27th September 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone C

Casarano

Sept. 27, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

SS Monopoli

Match Analysis

Casarano SS Monopoli

Casarano W L W L D L

SS Monopoli W L W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
SS Monopoli	Casarano	0 - 2	May 3, 2026
SS Monopoli	Casarano	2 - 1	March 9, 2026
Casarano	SS Monopoli	1 - 3	November 1, 2025

Casarano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 11, 26	Home	Barletta	3 - 1	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Bari	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 28, 26	Home	Giugliano	4 - 3	Win
Aug 21, 26	Away	Potenza	4 - 1	Loss
May 20, 26	Away	Union Brescia	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Union Brescia	0 - 3	Loss

SS Monopoli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Home	Foggia	1 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Potenza	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 29, 26	Home	Catania	2 - 0	Win
Aug 24, 26	Away	Team Altamura	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	Lecce	1 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Casarano	0 - 2	Loss

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Casarano	4	2	0	2	8	9	-1	6
16	SS Monopoli	3	1	0	2	2	2	0	3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.48% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Casarano to win

This prediction indicates that Casarano has a 43.86% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.16 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.72% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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