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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 21, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
2 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Cascavel Marcílio Dias
Cascavel L D W L W D
Marcílio Dias D L D W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cascavel Marcílio Dias 3 - 0 July 9, 2022
Marcílio Dias Cascavel 1 - 1 April 23, 2022
Cascavel Marcílio Dias 2 - 0 August 28, 2021
Marcílio Dias Cascavel 1 - 1 June 13, 2021

Cascavel Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away Santa Catarina 1 - 0 Loss
May 31, 26 Home São Luiz 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Away Guarany de Bagé 0 - 4 Win
May 17, 26 Away Cianorte 1 - 0 Loss
May 10, 26 Home Joinville 1 - 0 Win
May 2, 26 Away Joinville 1 - 1 Draw

Marcílio Dias Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Away Independiente FSJ 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 1, 26 Home Azuriz 0 - 1 Loss
May 24, 26 Away Sao Jose 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Away Blumenau 0 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Brasil DE Pelotas 4 - 1 Win
May 2, 26 Away Brasil DE Pelotas 0 - 1 Win

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
33 Marcílio Dias 10 4 4 2 9 5 +4 16
37 Cascavel 10 4 3 3 9 4 +5 15

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.53% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Cascavel will score 0 goals, and Marcílio Dias will score 0 goals in the football match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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