Castellón vs AD Ceuta FC Sunday 04th October 2026 06:00 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Segunda División

Oct. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Castellón AD Ceuta FC
Castellón W W W W D W
AD Ceuta FC L L L L L W
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
AD Ceuta FC Castellón 1 - 1 May 9, 2026
Castellón AD Ceuta FC 3 - 3 September 14, 2025
Castellón AD Ceuta FC 2 - 2 February 11, 2024
AD Ceuta FC Castellón 1 - 3 October 15, 2023

Castellón Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Home Tenerife 5 - 0 Win
Sep 12, 26 Away Girona 1 - 2 Win
Sep 6, 26 Home Albacete 2 - 0 Win
Aug 31, 26 Away Celta de Vigo II 1 - 2 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Sabadell 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 14, 26 Away Real Sociedad II 0 - 1 Win

AD Ceuta FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 11, 26 Away Burgos 3 - 1 Loss
Sep 5, 26 Home Celta de Vigo II 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 30, 26 Away Mallorca 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Las Palmas 0 - 2 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Away FC Andorra 5 - 1 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Malaga 2 - 1 Win

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Castellón 5 4 1 0 7 2 +5 13
22 AD Ceuta FC 5 0 0 5 2 15 -13 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Castellón to win
This prediction indicates that Castellón has a 70.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.12 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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